class: bg_karl ## Deep-time climate legacies affect origination rates of marine genera #### Gregor Hans Mathes <br> Wolfgang Kiessling <br> Manuel Jonas Steinbauer .footnote[ 2nd Crossing the Palaeontological – Ecological Gap 8th September 2021 Museum für Naturkunde Berlin ] --- class: center ## About me .pull-left[ <!-- ![Gregor Mathes](https://gregor-mathes.netlify.app/img/user-2.jpg) --> <img src="https://gregor-mathes.netlify.app/img/user-2.jpg" alt="Image of presenter Gregor Mathes" width="200"/> ] -- PhD Student Tersane -- ---- Conservation Palaeobiology Environmental Data Science -- ---- Complex interactions of life and climate Palaeoclimate Interactions <style type="text/css"> .bg_karl { position: relative; z-index: 1; } .bg_karl::before { content: ""; background-image: url('https://cdn.pixabay.com/photo/2017/02/01/10/23/coral-2029448_960_720.png'); background-size: cover; position: absolute; top: 0px; right: 0px; bottom: 0px; left: 0px; opacity: 0.1; z-index: -1; } .remark-slide-number { display: none; } </style> --- ## Paleoclimate Interaction .center[ <img src="img/raw_temp.png" alt="main figure 2" width = 650/> ] --- class: animated fadeIn ## Paleoclimate Interaction .center[ <img src="img/proc_temp.png" alt="main figure 2" width = 650/> ] --- ## Background <br> Various ecological concepts state that **climatic context** matters for evolutionary dynamics -- - niche conservatism<sup>1</sup> -- - migration lags<sup>2</sup> -- - cascading effects<sup>3</sup> .footnote[ [1] [Wiens & Graham 2005](http://wienslab.com/Publications_files/Wiens_Graha_m_AnnRev2005.pdf), [Hopkins et al. 2014](https://onlinelibrary.wiley.com/doi/pdf/10.1111/ele.12232) [2] [Svenning & Skov 2004](https://onlinelibrary.wiley.com/doi/pdf/10.1111/j.1461-0248.2004.00614.x?casa_token=FUNth791jy8AAAAA:3VxiavZdDNQNpkHW6ubiq7BbbMhxZnPvsbMaNksoP3VIDjxfAm132-6hoOb0jVG2XUCPFls8U_UNCQpc), [Normand et al. 2011](https://royalsocietypublishing.org/doi/full/10.1098/rspb.2010.2769) [3] [Beaugrand 2015](https://royalsocietypublishing.org/doi/pdf/10.1098/rstb.2013.0264), [Lord et al. 2017](https://www.int-res.com/articles/feature/m571p001.pdf) ] --- class: center, middle, animated slideInLeft ![Palaeoclimate Interactions](https://i.imgflip.com/59896h.jpg) --- ## Recent work Biodiversity → High Impact<sup>1</sup> Extinction → High Impact<sup>2</sup> .footnote[ [1] [Antão et al. 2020, *Nature Ecology and Evolution*](https://www.nature.com/articles/s41559-020-1185-7) [2] [Mathes et al. 2021a, *Nature Ecology and Evolution*](https://www.nature.com/articles/s41559-020-01377-w) ] -- # **Origination → ???** --- ## New publication - [Mathes et al. 2021b, *PNAS*](https://www.pnas.org/content/118/36/e2105769118) - [Twitter Thread](https://twitter.com/GregorMathes/status/1433723582333530125) - [Press Release](https://www.uni-bayreuth.de/en/university/press/press-releases/2021/115-evolution-climate-change/index.html) - [Supplementary Information](https://www.pnas.org/content/pnas/suppl/2021/09/02/2105769118.DCSupplemental/pnas.2105769118.sapp.pdf) --- ### Origination response <img src="img/raw_ori.png" alt="main figure 2" width = 680/> --- class: animated fadeIn ### Origination response <img src="img/proc_ori.png" alt="main figure 2" width = 680/> --- class: animated slideInLeft ### Effect size .center[ <img src="img/combined_effect_sizes_1.png" alt="main figure 2" width="550"/> ] --- class: animated fadeIn ### Effect size .center[ <img src="img/combined_effect_sizes_2.png" alt="main figure 2" width="550"/> ] --- class: animated fadeIn ### Effect size .center[ <img src="img/combined_effect_sizes.png" alt="main figure 2" width="550"/> ] --- ### Effect per group <img src="img/raw_eff.png" alt="main figure 2" width = 680/> --- class: animated fadeIn ### Effect per group <img src="img/proc_eff.png" alt="main figure 2" width = 680/> --- class: bg_karl ### Summary <br/> .footnote[ Twitter: [@GregorMathes](https://twitter.com/GregorMathes) Website: [gregor-mathes.netlify.app](https://gregor-mathes.netlify.app/) ] -- - **high impact of palaeoclimate interactions on origination** -- - **higher origination signal after cooling-cooling** -- - **effect consistent in groups and through time** --